Reddit's IPO: What America's Forum for Geeks Taught Us
I recently caught Dumb Money on Netflix, the film about the meme-stock mania — and, as if on cue, Reddit, the American social network where that whole meme-stock circus got its start, just went public itself.
Reddit's IPO was one of the biggest events in U.S. internet-land this year, for two reasons. First, it's a genuinely legitimate, long-established social network going public — practically every American internet nerd has an account there. U.S. social media IPOs have been fairly anemic in recent years, so Reddit listing is a big deal in its own right. Second, Reddit caught the AI wave: now that the big labs are training massive models, they can no longer just scrape whatever they want off the open web the way they did a few years ago. Google, for instance, now pays Reddit $60 million a year for the rights to use its data as AI training material.
70 Million Daily Active Users — and the Retail Traders Who Squeezed Wall Street
Think of Reddit as America's version of PTT — its core users are the grassroots masses, generating an endless stream of chatter, day in and day out. Its most famous moment in recent years came when users on its stock-trading forum piled into meme stocks like GameStop and squeezed Wall Street's short sellers, becoming instant legends. But that short squeeze was just one thing among many happening on a platform with 70 million daily active users — which gives you a sense of just how much reach Reddit really has.
Reddit today is, without much argument, the undisputed king of grassroots online forums worldwide. It brings in $800 million a year in revenue, almost entirely from advertising, and now it has a second revenue stream in data licensing. It's worth pointing out here: Reddit's data is valuable precisely because the U.S. is the world's largest economy and Reddit is the top grassroots forum on the planet, with 70 million daily active users. That much content, generated by that many Americans, makes for phenomenal AI training data — not every dataset gets to be that valuable.
Reddit was founded back in 2005, when its two young founders joined the world's top startup incubator, Y Combinator, and got a hand from YC's own Paul Graham. The site took off quickly, and in 2006 the founders sold it to Condé Nast for a tidy sum — one of YC's earliest showcase successes. But under Condé Nast, Reddit struggled with various operational headaches for years, which is why co-founder Steve Huffman was eventually brought back as CEO a few years ago.
Over the past decade-plus, social networks have taken many forms and competed fiercely with each other. Forum-style social sites like Reddit are basically their own category, distinguished mostly by extremely simple, low-friction user habits. Plenty of countries have their own long-running version of this bare-bones, easy-to-use forum format — Japan has 2ch (2channel), Taiwan has PTT, Hong Kong has HKGolden (高登討論區).
These forums all share one trait: their strength is also their weakness. Because they're old, their interfaces stay crude; because the interface is crude, the learning curve is low; because the barrier to entry is low, they attract large numbers of users; and large numbers of users create a bazaar effect that draws in even more people. But maintaining that low-cost, high-efficiency formula means it's better not to mess with the interface or add features... every sophisticated function got absorbed instead by the Facebooks and Twitters that came later. Most forums of this type have, from day one, remained nothing more than a simple bulletin board.
But the downside of being a simple bulletin board is that you're basically entirely dependent on advertising for revenue, without the ability to run more sophisticated ad placements. This same simplicity has also limited Reddit's push into overseas markets — its expansion into India, in particular, has never really taken off.
Why Forums Rarely Go Public: The Hard Balance Between Moderation and Letting It Ride
Another reason forums like this rarely make it to an IPO is that it's genuinely difficult to strike the right balance between moderation and hands-off freedom. Leave the place completely unmanaged, and the community quickly degrades into a swamp of rumors, misinformation, and hate speech. But moderate too heavily, and users get upset, feeling like the old neighborhood haunt has lost its character: "Your interface is this basic — we come here to contribute content purely for the fun of it. Police us too much, and we'll just leave!"
Balancing users, moderation, and commercial value has always been an exhausting act — which is exactly why Reddit stumbled through its share of ups and downs over the past decade-plus. But Huffman has proven to be a genuinely capable CEO. Since taking back the reins, he's managed to hold growth and stability in balance, which is no small feat — keeping revenue healthy while herding a user base that flares up into outrage at the drop of a hat is not a job just any executive can pull off.
So is a social network company actually worth investing in? Reddit's performance so far has been solid, and this IPO also gave some of its active users and moderators a piece of stock as a thank-you — a rare, thoroughly meme-ified gesture in its own right. Among other social networks, Pinterest also stands out as a solid performer.
I'm personally a big fan of Pinterest — it's a scrapbook-style service where you "pin" images you like. It's popular among people who love design-oriented visuals. Pinterest's founder, Ben Silbermann, is a rare breed in Silicon Valley: a founder who stays genuinely low-key. He doesn't hype himself up and works at a deliberately unhurried pace. Before the IPO, the company actually saw a strikingly high rate of executive departures — but unlike the usual reasons founders lose executives, in this case it was because Silbermann was in no rush to chase profit that people left. Today Pinterest is valued at $24 billion, and it stands as one of the successful IPO stories among social media companies.
Forum-style social networks going public isn't the norm, which brings to mind a topic that a lot of people in Taiwan's internet industry have raised before: if PTT went commercial, could it become a listed social network in its own right? For starters, that's simply not going to happen — PTT is an asset of National Taiwan University, and its best days are arguably already behind it, with services like Facebook having absorbed most people's social needs elsewhere. And finally, there's the matter of valuation: these companies are typically valued based on user count, and Taiwan's population is fixed at 23 million people — it's not about to suddenly balloon. So the commercial value here is probably nowhere near as staggering as people might imagine.